US-Iran Deal Collapses Amid Airstrikes, Gulf Attacks, and Oil Market Turmoil

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Early Wednesday, July 8, 2026, the United States launched a major aerial assault on southern Iran — striking over 80 targets, according to U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM). The strikes targeted Iranian air defense systems, command-and-control networks, coastal radar installations, anti-ship missile launch sites, and more than 60 small vessels operated by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in and near the Strait of Hormuz.

Escalation After Attacks on Commercial Shipping

The operation follows a series of attacks on three commercial vessels within 24 hours in the Strait of Hormuz, as reported by the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) office. Qatar and Saudi Arabia have publicly blamed Iran for two of those incidents. Washington described its response as retaliation for what it called Iranian aggression against international shipping — a key flashpoint in the rapidly deteriorating U.S.-Iran relationship.

June Agreement Now in Shreds

The airstrikes mark a dramatic collapse of the preliminary agreement signed in Islamabad on June 17, 2026 — a deal that had raised hopes for de-escalation in the Middle East conflict, which began on February 28 with a joint U.S.-Israeli military campaign against the Islamic Republic. That accord had envisioned the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy chokepoint through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) normally flows. It also included provisions for lifting U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports.

Iran had warned Washington against violating the agreement, with Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi stating via X that Tehran would take ‘decisive measures’ to protect its national interests and security. Iranian state media reported multiple explosions near the Strait of Hormuz following the U.S. strikes.

Economic Fallout and Regional Alarm

In parallel, the U.S. Treasury reinstated sweeping sanctions on Iranian hydrocarbons, banning all new transactions involving Iranian oil and gas effective immediately. U.S. officials told reporters — speaking on condition of anonymity — that Iran’s actions in the strait were ‘completely unacceptable’ and ‘would not go unanswered.’

The renewed escalation sent immediate shockwaves through energy markets: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude surged 2.63% to $72.29 per barrel shortly after Asian markets opened. Sirens sounded in Bahrain, and unconfirmed reports emerged of attacks in Kuwait — underscoring how quickly tensions are spilling beyond bilateral hostilities into broader regional instability.