Trump Pays a High Price for Iran Deal: Lebanon Strikes, Tehran’s Strength, and Slipping Polls

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Donald Trump appears willing to pay a steep price to secure a deal with Iran — and as Tehran escalates pressure, the U.S. president seems increasingly ready to make concessions. According to a Washington Post report, negotiations underway in Switzerland hang by a thread. Vice President J.D. Vance is holding critical talks with senior Iranian officials, aiming for an agreement that would permanently block Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons — in exchange for potential easing of U.S. sanctions.

Tehran Emerges Stronger Amid War

Iran appears more powerful now than before the conflict erupted. U.S. analysts assess that Trump’s negotiating leverage has significantly weakened since February, when talks were last held — before hostilities began. Back then, Iranian leadership feared a U.S. military intervention could even trigger regime collapse. Today, however, Tehran has demonstrated resilience — including after the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28. The Iranian government has also shown it can disrupt global energy markets, even with just the threat of attacks on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint handling roughly 20% of the world’s oil and natural gas shipments.

Trump’s Concessions Spark Backlash

U.S. media reports indicate the White House has already made major concessions to keep negotiations alive. Trump no longer demands regime change in Iran — despite earlier statements supporting Iranian opposition groups. He has also acknowledged Tehran’s rationale for maintaining ballistic missile capabilities, drawing criticism from regional U.S. allies.

In recent days, Tehran reiterated its threat to restrict maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz in response to Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon. In turn, Trump announced that during the ceasefire period, “there will be no transit fees imposed in the Strait of Hormuz for 60 days.”

Public Opinion Turns Against War

A recent Fox News poll revealed that 58% of American voters believe the U.S. decision to go to war with Iran in February was wrong. While 75% of Republicans support the move, soaring inflation and economic instability are raising alarms at the White House ahead of the November midterm elections.

Lebanon Ceasefire Under Strain

The fragile truce in Lebanon is being tested, as Israel continues striking Hezbollah positions — citing ongoing attacks by the Iran-aligned group. The ceasefire agreement, intended to halt fighting in Lebanon, is now straining U.S.-Israeli relations, placing Washington in the uncomfortable position of pressuring Tehran to rein in Hezbollah.