A significant fall has been observed in recent years in crude oil exports from and from , which gives food to scenarios for rising prices ahead of the American elections. In particular, S. Arabia’s exports have fallen by about 1.1 million barrels per day since May, while a corresponding drop is noted in Russia’s exports. Overall OPEC is estimated to now export about 3 million barrels less than in spring. As HFI Research estimates, if exports remain low in August, then the possibility of ejecting the price in October is estimated to be close to 90%. The American elections will take place in early November and the price of fuel in the US is a timeless major issue for voters. By extension, the view is expressed that perhaps Riyadh and Moscow want to influence developments at the expense of current President Biden and for Trump. In such a scenario the White House will only have the paper of the strategic oil reserve in its hands. Over the past few months he has rushed to make up for it to a certain extent after successive draws of previous years, while making sure he sends the message that he will react with new draws to any price appreciation to protect consumers. All this takes place in a year where there is a deficit between supply and demand for crude oil internationally anyway, so the margins are narrow, let alone in such a short time horizon.