The political rivalry between New Democracy (ND) and the Greek Solution (ELAS) is sharpening — evoking memories of Greece’s traditional two-party system. With a clear opponent now in view, both parties are tightening their internal cohesion. For voters eager to see Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis step down, ELAS offers a credible alternative — one that avoids splitting the anti-Mitsotakis vote. Meanwhile, those dissatisfied with Mitsotakis but wary of Alexis Tsipras’s return have growing incentive to re-elect ND, according to analyses circulating in political and electoral offices.
Shifting Poll Numbers
This realignment is reflected in the latest GPO poll for Parapolitika:
- New Democracy: 29.4% (up from 28.6%)
- Greek Solution: 16.3% (up from 15.1%)
- PASOK: 11.5% (down from 12.4%)
- Hellenic Solution: 9.2% (up from 8.9%)
- KKE: 9.0% (up from 8.6%)
- Elpida (Hope): 7.8% (down from 10.5%)
- Freedom Cruise: 4.3% (down from 4.7%)
- MERA25: 2.9% (up from 2.5%)
- Voice of Reason: 2.6% (up from 2.4%)
- Syriza: 1.2% (down from 1.3%)
- Niki (Victory): 1.1% (down from 1.6%)
- Others: 4.7% (up from 3.4%)
June 2027 in Focus
Attention is increasingly turning to the end of the current parliamentary term — June 2027 — when a single-round general election is widely expected. Sources close to Mitsotakis indicate that his inner circle is already leaning toward holding elections then, rather than opting for early polls. The rationale hinges on two interlocking factors: first, the certainty of a single decisive vote — no repeat ballots — and second, Greece’s upcoming six-month presidency of the Council of the European Union in the second half of 2027. That role will place the country at the center of major EU decisions — a narrative ND intends to frame as a test of leadership and competence.
The Referendum Echo
In discussions with a senior government minister about this scenario, the question arose: Why would the EU presidency matter so much to voters? His response was telling: “Indeed, 60% of citizens may feel it doesn’t concern them directly — but the 40% who voted for us do care deeply.” That 40% figure echoes the ‘Yes’ vote in Tsipras’s 2015 referendum on the bailout agreement — a moment that exposed a deep rift over Greece’s relationship with Europe. ND plans to revisit that fault line during the campaign, using it to undermine Tsipras’s credibility on European affairs.
Preparedness Over Prediction
While no final decision has been made on timing — and even the prime minister may not yet know which scenario will unfold — preparations are underway for all possibilities: June 2027, earlier polls, or even an unlikely September vote. What is certain is Mitsotakis’s insistence on readiness — a sprint, even if it stretches across a marathon distance. His immediate priority remains consolidating ND’s momentum, especially as the party marks seven years since its first electoral victory. In his Sunday message commemorating the anniversary, Mitsotakis highlighted tangible progress, underscoring achievements in economic recovery, infrastructure, and public administration reform.