New MRB polling data released Thursday, July 9, 2026, shows New Democracy (ND) maintaining a strong lead in Greek political preferences, with 29% support in vote intention projections — up from its current government share of 23.8%. The left-wing coalition ELAS, led by Alexis Tsipras, stands at 17.6% in the overall projection and 14.4% in current voting intent, placing it second but trailing ND by 11.4 percentage points overall and 9.4 points in active voting preference.
Party Rankings
The Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK) holds third place with 11.1% (9.1% in current vote intent), followed by Maria Karystiannou’s newly formed party, Elpida gia tin Dimokratia (Hope for Democracy), at 8.8% (7.2%). Greek Solution follows closely at 8.7% (7.1%), while the Communist Party of Greece (KKE) records 7.3% (6%). Other parties include Freedom Sail (5%, 4.1%), Voice of Reason (3.3%, 2.7%), MeRA25 (3%, 2.5%), Democrats (2.1%, 1.7%), SYRIZA (1.5%, 1.2%), and the New Left (1.1%, 0.9%).
Victory Probability and Leadership Approval
In terms of likelihood of winning the next general election, ND leads decisively at 46.1%, far ahead of ELAS (9.7%) and PASOK (5.3%). Hope for Democracy registers 4.7%, and Greek Solution 4.1%.
On leadership preference, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis remains the most favored candidate to lead the country, with 25.1% naming him the most suitable prime minister. Tsipras follows with 15.1%, PASOK leader Nikos Androulakis with 8.6%, and Maria Karystiannou with 7.3%.
Additional Findings
The survey also examined voter flows into ND, PASOK, ELAS, and Hope for Democracy since the June 2024 European elections, assessed citizens’ top concerns — with cost-of-living pressures cited as the most urgent issue — and compared public perceptions of the four main leaders’ governance capabilities.