mentioning compared to the eurozone, the United States as a whole fairly robust pace. U.S. Federal Reserve Wednesday released the latest National Beige Book survey of economic conditions showed that, despite suffering a severe winter storms in the invasion of the weather, the U.S. economy in February, or continue to “moderate improvement.” Fourth quarter of 2009 GDP revised 5.9% increase is boosting people to hit a 6 years the highest level.
    Withdraw from the market too early
    Robbery wave engulfing the financial crisis, the super-normal economic stimulus policy can be “cast aside the bow once the birds are gone” to exit out? As the momentum of recovery is not balanced, bittersweet uneven States must “with the disease with different treatment.”
    IMF in the report reminded, for many emerging economies, particularly the rapid narrowing output gap, increase the risk of economic overheating in Asia and Latin America, “will make the large capital inflows before the effects of monetary policy to complicate.” In order to prevent rising inflation, tightening of policy was necessary “in the can act.”
    At present, economic growth is good in the “BRIC”, in addition to Russia, China, India and Brazil have increased the deposit reserve ratio. RBA this month on the 2nd announcement of 5 months to the fourth rate hike, interest rate 25 basis points to 4%. This is the G20 bloc of the first central bank to raise interest rates. However, analysts believe that a major international currency exchange rates may increase volatility in the financial field is not completely eliminate the risk that countries stimulus out of choice is still difficult.
    Recovered from more developed economies can not read the “inhibition.” Strong and relaxed policy is a block spring pad, “capital growth”, “preserve jobs” play up “deficit” to fall. IMF special warning, in the coming year the rich countries should cut the budget deficit big delay action, the suspension of an active monetary policy, exit, or it may lead to economic double-dip recession.
    In the Federal Reserve’s latest beige book, said the labor market is still no sign of improvement, although the pace of layoffs slowed, but employment is still weak. According to a Bloomberg News survey, the United States in February of 6.5 million people in employment may reduce the unemployment rate rose from 9.7% to 9.8%. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will testify in the Zhou Xiangguo reiterated that the Fed will be “longer period” to benchmark interest rates at very low levels. 4 European Central Bank announced a 1% to maintain the leading euro-zone interest rates unchanged.
    “States continue to maintain at least 2010, policy packages.” That is earnestly urged the IMF several times recently.
  Risk remains 4 V
    In this submission to the 20 finance ministers and central bank governors of the report, particular reference to “ensure fiscal sustainability is the top priority in many developed countries.” The developed countries should strengthen financial discipline, and to develop medium-term fiscal program to reduce high debt to GDP ratio.
    As the most vulnerable part of the euro area, Greece delayed pending issues so that more and more heavy pressure on sovereign credit market. According to analysis, the Greek debt crisis plagued the euro area economy may be the European Central Bank’s policy-making impact. 3 Eurostat data showed the euro zone in January retail sales are down 0.3% compared with 1.3% down year on year. All that now is not the monetary policy of the “loose shirt” with “tight” time.
    Britain likewise worrisome. Analysts predicted that the proportion of UK GDP, this deficit will rise to 12.8%, and Greece may not be quite alarmist. Britain will be held at the June 2010 general election, recent polls show the Labour Party to the Conservative lead shrinking political uncertainty brought about even more bleak economic prospects that the United Kingdom. This year, the British pound against the dollar fallen 7.8% against the euro is down 2.3%.
    Obama urged the government from February onwards new employment plan, analysis, suggesting that the U.S. government’s policy focus is back up support for economic recovery. The U.S. government in this year’s census, from April to nearly 100 people from at least 6 months to provide jobs.
    Post-crisis era, exit plan is the real economy and monetary policy, cut off tail risk, the necessary return to the normal process, but the risk is still surviving, physical weak global economy, the recovery of tone and liberal background and will not suddenly change.
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