If the U.S. Wants to End the War with Iran via Sanctions, China Is the ‘Key’

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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a new wave of sanctions against Iran on Monday, August 24, 2026 — a move widely seen as highly revealing of Washington’s strategy. The measures form part of former President Donald Trump’s administration’s broader plan to exert intense economic pressure on Tehran, aiming to force its surrender, end the nearly six-month-long conflict, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. ‘We are no longer negotiating with the Iranian threat — we are ending it,’ Bessent declared, promising sanctions that would ‘cut off every economic lifeline sustaining this tyrannical regime, until Tehran stands utterly alone.’

‘Economic Outcast’ Campaign

The initiative, dubbed ‘Economic Outcast,’ expands secondary sanctions targeting foreign countries and entities doing business with Iran. It introduces new restrictions across key sectors including technology, shipping, and digital assets. While framed as a decisive escalation, analysts remain skeptical about its real-world impact.

Doubts Over Effectiveness

According to CBS News, Iran experts are unconvinced these latest measures will compel the Islamic Republic to accept defeat in a war Trump once predicted would last ‘no more than six weeks — certainly not months.’ For decades, successive U.S. administrations have attempted to pressure Iran through sanctions. Yet the regime has consistently adapted — relying on financial workarounds, informal trade networks, and extensive smuggling operations. As the U.S. Treasury Department itself acknowledges, Tehran has proven adept at circumventing restrictions.

‘They know how to get by,’ said Kate Dourian, non-resident researcher at the Gulf Arab States Institute, speaking to BBC News on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. ‘They have ways to bypass sanctions. So much of Bessent’s messaging, I believe, was directed at other countries — not Iran itself.’

Targeting Global Partners — But Not Beijing’s Core Institutions

In his announcement, Bessent warned that nations maintaining commercial ties with Iran should ‘expect to share the isolation of a collapsing regime.’ On Tuesday, the U.S. added 60 entities suspected of supporting or trading with Iran to its sanctions list — including firms in the United Arab Emirates, Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong, France, the United Kingdom, and, critically, China.

Yet the sanctions target only select private Chinese companies — stopping short of imposing penalties on China’s major state-owned banks or financial infrastructure. Analysts stress that without such a step, the sweeping predictions of economic collapse for Iran are unlikely to materialize. ‘This wasn’t the economic “D-Day”,’ said Bret Erickson, Washington-based sanctions expert and head of Obsidian Risk Advisors, speaking to CBS News. Using Trump’s own rhetorical style, he added: ‘If the U.S. isn’t prepared to meaningfully target China, Washington can’t credibly claim these sanctions will deliver decisive results.’

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