France at the mercy of government: The motion of censure against Barnier and the Macrone moves

Shortly before its end, it seems to be that, after Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s decision not to accept the increase in the social security costs demanded by the opposition and while not holding the parliamentary majority, she has recourse to Article 49.3 of the French Constitution which enables her to legislate without the National Assembly. After these decisions, both the New People’s Front of the Left and Marin Lepin’s far-right party, testified, which in the event that it is voted for, will lead to the fall of Michel Barnier’s government as well as to the failure to pass the state budget of 2025. This is very likely since opposition parties jointly control 332 of the 577 seats of the French National Assembly which means they have a parliamentary majority. If this scenario becomes a reality, Michel Barnier will be the first French Prime Minister to be forced to leave after a motion of censure has been voted on, while his government will be the first in the history of the country to be “downed” while only 3 months in power. The next day in France About the future of France, 2 are the following: The first scenario is that President Emanuel Macron should in the near future appoint a new prime minister who, having the majority in the National Assembly, will be able to briefly pass the budget of 2025 before it ends in 2024. The second possibility is that President Macron will not appoint a new government. In practice, this means, that it remains the government of Barnier that will manage only current affairs. With regard to the budget, the so-called practice of the twelfths will be followed in 2025, which means that State revenue and state expenditure will be equal to the corresponding 2024s each month. For this to happen, however, there must be the consensus of the National Assembly. Otherwise France will find itself in a dead end, as President Macron has made it clear that he will not resign himself.