Her chance of winning to the increased by six percentage points according to the image given by the Economist’s prediction model. As elections to the U.S. approach, agony grows on both sides with both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump candidates fighting chest to chest for the presidency. The tension has hit “red” while polarization has acquired an aerial form. The thriller has no precedent, however, as the odds of winning between the two candidates are 50-50. Economist explains that only Tuesday (29.10.2024), 65 new polls were published, which were incorporated into the statistical model he has devised and this gives increased chances of winning the Democratic candidate. The profits of the current U.S. Vice President and Democratic candidate are mainly found in the so-called “Scurry Zone”, and in particular its polls give a slight lead in Michigan and Wisconsin as well as in Pennsylvania. The most important polls were made in the last 24 hours in Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In these states the forecast for the vote in favour of Kamala Harris increased by 0.4%, which is of course a small rise but the battle of the two candidates is so ambiguous that the statistic model of Economist took out that Kamala Harris increased the chances of winning by 6 points. Also, Kamala Harris seems to improve her chances of winning North Carolina, where Donald Trump has a small lead Also the polls published, usually give better numbers to Donald Trump and this is taken into account by the Economist’s statistical model, while it is important that in recent days the prediction was in Trump’s favor and the change of trend is considered important. Electoral College Model – Economist However, despite this sharp increase in the probability of winning for Kamala Harris, in a number of electors the two main candidates appear to be equal candidates who appear to win both of 269 – on a total of 538 electors – and neither one of them ensures the “magic” number of 270. It is recalled that in such a case, where both candidates have the same number of electors, the House of Representatives decides who will be elected President of the United States.
American election 2024 – Economist: Kamala Harris increased the odds of winning against Trump by 6 points
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